A week ago, the Golden Globes unveiled its list of the 25 podcasts eligible for the ceremony’s inaugural Best Podcast award, and Gold Derby predictions for the category have already begun to give shape to the race.

While there’s still plenty of time for the state of the competition to change, the early snapshot does provide an insight into how awards followers are approaching the medium, thus far uncharted territory for the major award shows.

More from Gold Derby

Golden Globes TV Nominations 2026

Drama Series TV Drama Actor TV Drama Actress Comedy Series TV Comedy Actor TV Comedy Actress TV Limited Series/Movie TV Limited/Movie Actor TV Limited/Movie Actress TV Supporting Actor TV Supporting Actress Podcast

Contender

Odds

1.

Good Hang
Good Hang

Good Hang with Amy Poehler

97.0%

2.

SmartLess
SmartLess

SmartLess

93.1%

3.

Call Her Daddy
Call Her Daddy

Call Her Daddy

85.1%

4.

Up First from NPR
Up First from NPR

Up First from NPR

75.2%

5.

Pod Save America
Pod Save America

Pod Save America

71.3%

6.

The Joe Rogan Experience
The Joe Rogan Experience

The Joe Rogan Experience

69.3%

7.

Armchair Expert
Armchair Expert

Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard

36.6%

8.

Stuff You Should Know
Stuff You Should Know

Stuff You Should Know

12.9%

9.

The Mel Robbins Podcast
The Mel Robbins Podcast

The Mel Robbins Podcast

10.9%

10.

The Daily
The Daily

The Daily

6.9%

11.

Crime Junkie
Crime Junkie

Crime Junkie

5.9%

12.

This Past Weekend
This Past Weekend

This Past Weekend with Theo Von

4.0%

13.

The Megyn Kelly Show
The Megyn Kelly Show

The Megyn Kelly Show

2.0%

14.

Dateline NBC
Dateline NBC

Dateline NBC

2.0%

15.

Rotten Mango
Rotten Mango

Rotten Mango

2.0%

16.

Morbid
Morbid

Morbid

2.0%

17.

The Bill Simmons Podcast
The Bill Simmons Podcast

The Bill Simmons Podcast

1.0%

18.

Candace
Candace

Candace

1.0%

19.

The Tucker Carlson Show
The Tucker Carlson Show

The Tucker Carlson Show

1.0%

20.

20/20 Podcast
20/20 Podcast

20/20

1.0%

21.

Pardon My Take
Pardon My Take

Pardon My Take

1.0%

22.

The Ben Shapiro Show
The Ben Shapiro Show

The Ben Shapiro Show

1.0%

23.

48 Hours Podcast
48 Hours Podcast

48 Hours

1.0%

24.

Shawn Ryan Show
Shawn Ryan Show

Shawn Ryan Show

25.

MrBallen
MrBallen

MrBallen Podcast: Strange, Dark and Mysterious Stories

See All Predictions

Amy Poehler, a previous Golden Globe winner for Best Comedy TV Actress in 2014 for Parks and Recreation and memorable host alongside her former Saturday Night Live pal Tina Fey, is out to an early lead with her podcast Good Hang. She currently sits at a 96.7 percent likelihood of a nomination.

Coming in second, just behind Poehler, are more TV stars. The guys of SmartLess (aka Will Arnett, Jason Bateman, and Sean Hayes) are right behind her with 92.4 percent of a nom. Bateman previously won a Globe for his work on Arrested Development. Hayes has six nominations, all for Will & Grace. And a podcast nomination would be Arnett’s first.

Rounding out the top six are Call Her Daddy, Up First From NPR, The Joe Rogan Experience, and Pod Save America.

The inclusion of NPR in the category could add an interesting wrinkle from a narrative perspective, as the Trump administration’s withdrawal of federal funding from the broadcaster could activate voters looking to speak with their Globes ballot.

The one observable trend in the early predictions is a preference for celebrities (with podcasts) over political podcasters. While the likes of Poehler, Arnett, Bateman, Hayes, and Dax Shepard occupy the top 10, pundits like Candace Owens, Tucker Carlson, and Ben Shapiro have been relegated to the bottom of the predictions list.

Note: Golden Globes producer Dick Clark Productions is owned by Penske Media Eldridge, a joint venture between Eldridge and Penske Media Corporation, which owns Gold Derby.

Best of Gold Derby

Sign up for Gold Derby’s Newsletter. For the latest news, follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram.

Click here to read the full article.